COVID-19 in the United States: the first never-ending wave

Across the United States, more than a dozen states are currently recording their highest number of new COVID-19 cases since the start of the pandemic, but Donald Trump and many officials local people refuse any alarmism and exclude a new containment.

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The American epidemic has moved from New York and the north-east to a broad band covering the south and the west, and the eyes are now turned on the hospitals of Arizona, Texas or Florida, where the president just moved the republican nomination convention in august – it was to be held in north carolina, but the new coronavirus still circulating there actively, the local authorities had demanded a reduced format and the wearing of the mask, conditions unacceptable for Donald Trump.

Courts have paused in deconfinement: the city of Nashville, or the state of Oregon, on the Pacific coast. Her governor has announced a week-long pause in the reopening process started a month ago, after a resurgence of the virus in both urban and rural areas.

The map of the United States is today largely colored in red on the Covidexitstrategy.org site: the majority of American states do not meet the reopening criteria defined by the White House, and have more and more new cases declared every day, hospital capacities are reduced and insufficient screening tests.

While the country reached 100,000 official COVID-19 deaths on May 28, it will likely reach 130,000 by the national holiday of July 4, according to an average of multiple epidemiological models. And Youyang Gu, an independent modeller whose forecasts have turned out to be very accurate, predicts 200,000 deaths by October 1.

Mr. Trump’s government admits the appearance of a few homes. But there is no question of closing the economy in the event of a second wave, insist officials of his administration.

Economic adviser Larry Kudlow told Fox News on Friday, “There is no emergency. There is no second wave. “

Hot spots

The development of screening tests clearly contributes to the increase in the number of cases reported daily: many are mild.

In Florida, where Donald Trump has a private residence, the governor speaks of a “modest” increase and explains that hospitalizations are stable, far from the peaks observed in New York.

But that’s not the case everywhere. In Arizona, the number of cases has jumped and 78% of intensive care beds are occupied, a record. The big city of Phoenix has become a “hot spot”.

“We reopened too much too quickly, our hospitals are really struggling,” said Phoenix Mayor Kate Gallego at a conference for the Center for American Progress.

This is also the case in Texas, where the number of hospital patients is slowly but surely increasing since the long weekend of Memorial Day in late May, which traditionally marks the start of summer and has seen a beach rush. Fortunately, the death toll in the state has not jumped, but it shows that the epidemic is actually progressing.

People “were fed up with containment,” said Scott Gottlieb, former head of the United States Medicines Agency (FDA), on CNBC on Friday. “Most states have not met the reopening criteria set by public health officials and the White House, but have reopened anyway because people wanted them to.”

The long weeks of confinement tested the Americans and their elected officials. Many officials, especially Republicans, seem to believe that their constituents can no longer bear restrictive measures.

In South Carolina, the governor said that despite the resurgence of the coronavirus, it would not make it mandatory to wear a mask and would not close businesses.

“The answer at this point is individual responsibility,” said Henry McMaster.

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